CoreLogic released its weekly property pulse, this week including some interesting insights on ABS data released last week relating to employment, household incomes and construction.
Employment
Late last week the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released labour force data for October 2016. While the headline unemployment rate of 5.6% was steady over the month at its lowest level since February 2013, other data in the release suggested that the employment market was not so strong. The employment participation rate is recorded at 64.4% which is its lowest level since January 2006 and it is down from 65.0% a year earlier. Total employment has increased by 1.3% over the past 12 months however, full-time employment has declined by -0.6% with all of the increase in employment coming from part-time which rose by 5.5%. This further highlights the underemployment challenge, when the economy is shedding full-time jobs, an increasing number of people will be wanting to work additional hours but won’t have access to these roles.
Late last week the ABS also released annual data on household incomes which showed that over the 12 months to June 2016, gross household income per capita rose by 2.0% while household disposable income per capita rose by just 1.7%. Gross income per capita growth had slowed from 2.3% over the previous year while gross household income per capita growth slowed from 1.9% over the previous year. It was the slowest growth in each measure since 2013 when they increased by 0.7% and 1.4% respectively.
Construction
The ABS released statistics on the value of construction work completed over the September 2016 quarter earlier this week. Over the quarter, $46.1 billion worth of construction work was completed which was -10.9% lower over the quarter and -7.6% lower year-on-year. It was the largest quarterly decline in construction work completed since a -13.5% fall in September 2000. Over the quarter there was $25.9 billion in building work completed split between $17.6 billion in residential work and $8.3 billion in non-residential work, along with $20.3 billion in engineering construction work. Residential work fell by -3.1% over the quarter while non-residential work was down – 10.9% and engineering construction fell -3.8%. It was the first time the value of residential work completed had fallen for five quarters while non-residential building and engineering construction work has been trending lower. The value of engineering construction work completed peaked at $34.8 over the September 2012 quarter and was -41.8% lower over the September 2016 quarter.
Number of Homes for Sale
Over the 28 days to November 20, there were 51,782 newly advertised homes for sale and 244,679 total properties advertised for sale. The number of newly advertised properties is 1.8% higher than a year ago and currently at its highest level in two years. The 244,679 total listings is -2.2% lower than a year ago. Across the combined capital cities the 32,390 newly advertised listings are -0.9% lower than a year ago and the 113,956 total listings are 2.0% higher than they were a year ago. New capital city listings are at their highest level in 12 months while total capital city listings are at their highest level since December 2013. Across the individual capital cities, total listings are higher than they were a year ago in Brisbane (+9.6%), Perth (+5.1%) and Canberra (+10.7%) but lower elsewhere. Total listings are lower than they were a year ago in Sydney (-10.8%), Melbourne (-2.1%), Hobart (-30.3%) and Canberra (-9.7%) but higher elsewhere.
